Fund Manager Grégoire Mivelaz cited in GAM’s Outlook 2019

ECB changing policy direction

Everyone has been waiting for the ECB to announce its first rate hike, which has now been postponed to 2019, specifically September 2019 according to the latest indications. Rising rates tend to be good for profits of financials and as we approach next September we expect investor attention to start to look favourably on the likelihood of improvement in balance sheet strength from such a move. This is particularly the case for those of the national champions we tend to favour. Since we are already positioned for rising rates, with about 50% weighting in our strategies invested in fixed to floaters and floating rate notes, we are aiming to benefit both from better credit metrics and a rising rate environment.

During 2018 the theme among investors has been one of de-risking. For 2019 we believe central banks will increasingly move towards quantitative tightening (QT). One question we are often asked is how this will affect us. QT is only tangential for us since there was no buying of financials via quantitative easing (QE), so there will be no direct unwinding in our areas.

Read the full article on

  • Please read this important legal information before proceeding.

    Information contained herein are solely for the use of the person who has accessed this information and may not be reproduced or distributed, even partially, to any other person or entity.

    The material contained herein is confidential and intended solely for the use of the persons or entities with nationality of or respectively with their residence, domicile, registered office or effective administration in a State or Country in which distribution, publication, making available or use of the information is not contrary to applicable laws or any other regulation.

    The material contained herein is aimed at sophisticated, professional, eligible, institutional and/or qualified investors/intermediaries who have the knowledge and financial sophistication to understand and bear the risks associated with the investments described.

    The information is solely product-related and does not take into account any personal circumstances and does not qualify as general or personal investment recommendation or advice. In particular, the information is given by way of information only and does not constitute a specific legal offer for the purchase or sale of financial instruments. Moreover, nothing contained herein is constitutive of any tax advice.

    Every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the financial information herein but the information contained herein has not been independently reviewed or verified. Therefore, Atlanticomnium SA gives no assurance, express or implied, as to whether such information is accurate, true or complete and no responsibility is accepted by Atlanticomnium SA for any errors or omissions. Third-party content is the property of its respective provider or its licensor and is protected by applicable copyright law.

    Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The price of shares/units and the income from the funds/trusts can go down as well as up and may be affected by changes in rates of exchange or financial markets fluctuation, out of the scope of Atlanticomnium SA.

    To the fullest extent permitted by law, in no event shall Atlanticomnium SA or our affiliates, or any of our directors, employees, contractors, service providers or agents have any liability whatsoever to any person for any direct or indirect loss, liability, cost, claim, expense or damage of any kind, whether in contract or in tort, including negligence, or otherwise, arising out of or related to the use of the information provided.